GACC Map

Legend

Fuel Dryness


Moist - Little or no risk for large fires.
Dry - Low risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Very dry - Low/Moderate risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Data Unavailable.

High Risk Events


Dry-Relative Humidity less than 15% across Southeast Alaska and less than 10% elsewhere.
Windy-Widespread sustained North through east winds greater than 25 mph over Southeast Alaska and widespread sustained winds greater than 30 mph elsewhere across the state.
Lightning- Scattered dry strikes or widespread mostly dry strikes.
Recreation-High recreation or other human activity.

Missing Stations

  • UMIAT
  • TOK
  • DENALI VISITOR CTR
  • GOLD KING
  • FT YUKON
  • LOST CREEK
  • LITTLE BLACK
  • PREACHER CREEK
  • WONDER LAKE
  • SHAKTOOLIK

Alaska Area 7 Day
Significant Fire Potential

Issued: Wednesday, Jul 30, 2014 Parameters:


Predictive Service Area Tue
Jul 29
Wed
Jul 30
Thu
Jul 31
Fri
Aug 1
Sat
Aug 2
Sun
Aug 3
Mon
Aug 4
Tue
Aug 5
AK00 - North Slope
AK01E - Tanana Valley-East
AK01W - Tanana Valley-West
AK02 - Upper Yukon Valley
AK03N - Tanana Zone-North
AK03S - Tanana Zone-South
AK04 - Koyukuk/Upper Kobuk
AK05 - Middle Yukon
AK06 - Seward Peninsula
AK07 - Lower Yukon
AK08 - Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta
AK09 - Kuskokwim Valley
AK10 - Bristol Bay and AK Pen
AK11 - Susitna Valley
AK12 - Copper River Basin
AK13 - Matanuska Vly/Anchorage
AK14 - Kenai Peninsula
AK15 - Northern Panhandle
AK16 - Central Panhandle
AK17 - Southern Panhandle
AK18 - Kodiak

Weather

Ridging is building southward over the state today, bringing warm, dry air to much of Alaska today. 70s will be widespread, and relative humidity will approach the 20% mark at a number of stations. With light winds in the forecast, Red Flag Warning criteria are not expected.

The low in the Gulf of Alaska is pushing one last wave through Copper River Basin this morning. As that low pulls to the south, that wave should drift offshore, taking showers with it and leaving behind mostly sunny skies for the Panhandle and the southeast mainland. 

Unfortunately, the placement of the ridge over Alaska is not to be long-lived, and the first wave to penetrate it is moving into the northwest coast tonight. Clouds and showers will spread into the western Interior and Southwest tomorrow, and the central Interior on Friday. Temperatures will remain in the upper 60s, despite the clouds.

By the weekend, the ridge continues to retreat to the Bering Sea, allowing the long wave trough to reposition over Alaska, bringing back clouds, periods of rain, and cooler temperatures once again. 

Fuels/Fire Potential

Another drying day.  Northern Interior locations with FFMCs reaching 90, though BUIs are still low there. Spruce and mixed wood forest fuels will resist aggressive burning. With few starts and light winds, concerns will be limited to most favorable fuels.  Look for human-caused possibilities. Only one FWI above 20, though these are on the rise as well. Numbers in the 30s are important thresholds.

Resources

Alaska remains at PL 1. In-state resources are adequate for the current low fire potential.

Forecasters: Strader/Ziel 7/30/2014 1137 MDT