GACC Map

Legend

Fuel Dryness


Moist - Little or no risk for large fires.
Dry - Low risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Very dry - Low/Moderate risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Data Unavailable.

High Risk Events


Dry-Relative Humidity less than 15% across Southeast Alaska and less than 10% elsewhere.
Windy-Widespread sustained North through east winds greater than 25 mph over Southeast Alaska and widespread sustained winds greater than 30 mph elsewhere across the state.
Lightning- Scattered dry strikes or widespread mostly dry strikes.
Recreation-High recreation or other human activity.

Missing Stations

  • Stony River

Alaska Area 7 Day
Significant Fire Potential

Issued: Friday, Sep 6, 2013 Parameters:


Predictive Service Area Thu
Sep 5
Fri
Sep 6
Sat
Sep 7
Sun
Sep 8
Mon
Sep 9
Tue
Sep 10
Wed
Sep 11
Thu
Sep 12
AK00 - North Slope
AK01E - Tanana Valley-East
AK01W - Tanana Valley-West
AK02 - Upper Yukon Valley
AK03N - Tanana Zone-North
AK03S - Tanana Zone-South
AK04 - Koyukuk/Upper Kobuk
AK05 - Middle Yukon
AK06 - Seward Peninsula
AK07 - Lower Yukon
AK08 - Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta
AK09 - Kuskokwim Valley
AK10 - Bristol Bay and AK Pen
AK11 - Susitna Valley
AK12 - Copper River Basin
AK13 - Matanuska Vly/Anchorage
AK14 - Kenai Peninsula
AK15 - Northern Panhandle
AK16 - Central Panhandle
AK17 - Southern Panhandle
AK18 - Kodiak

Weather

The long wave trough remains entrenched over the west coast of Alaska and eastern Bering Sea into next week. This will continue to bring waves of moisture across most of the state, and flow that varies from south to southwest.

Strong southerly flow will develop againtoday to bring strong southeast winds through the Alaska Range.  Winds will increase to gust to 50 mph developing this afternoon and lasting into Saturday. Winds will decrease quickly Saturday evening. It is expected that these Chinook winds will keep the central to eastern Interior fairly dry south of the Yukon but with a brief chance of showers after the winds decrease.  

The overall pattern shifts to light southerly flow aloft next week with occasional weak and short lived ridging followed by anouther bout of showers.

Fuels/Fire Potential

Most indices show low to moderate fire potential across the state. It is unlikely that a fire would ignite and show sustained burning at this time of the year.

Drought Codes (DCs) remain high in the central and eastern Interior, But these are overlain by very low Duff Moisture Codes (DMCs) in general.  The DCs, as the lowest levels of the organic matter typically have a long response time, and often don't recover until spring snowmelt. It is likely we will put these high DCs to bed for winter this way, and will have to wait and see if a normal snowfall year occurs to bring those numbers back down for spring.

Resources

Mississippi is the only staffed fire in Alaska and is expected to demobe this weekend. There are enough resources available. Alaska is at PL1. 

Forecasters: Alden 9/6/2013 1307 MDT