Fuel Dryness

Moist - Little or no risk for large fires.
Dry - Low risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Very dry - Low/Moderate risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Data Unavailable.

High Risk Events

Dry-Relative Humidity less than 15% across Southeast Alaska and less than 10% elsewhere.
Windy-Widespread sustained North through east winds greater than 25 mph over Southeast Alaska and widespread sustained winds greater than 30 mph elsewhere across the state.
Lightning- Scattered dry strikes or widespread mostly dry strikes.
Recreation-High recreation or other human activity.

Missing Stations

  • TOK

Alaska Area 7 Day
Significant Fire Potential

Issued: Friday, May 29, 2015 Parameters:

Predictive Service Area Thu
May 28
May 29
May 30
May 31
Jun 1
Jun 2
Jun 3
Jun 4
AK00 - North Slope
AK01E - Tanana Valley-East
AK01W - Tanana Valley-West
AK02 - Upper Yukon Valley
AK03N - Tanana Zone-North
AK03S - Tanana Zone-South
AK04 - Koyukuk/Upper Kobuk
AK05 - Middle Yukon
AK06 - Seward Peninsula
AK07 - Lower Yukon
AK08 - Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta
AK09 - Kuskokwim Valley
AK10 - Bristol Bay and AK Pen
AK11 - Susitna Valley
AK12 - Copper River Basin
AK13 - Matanuska Vly/Anchorage
AK14 - Kenai Peninsula
AK15 - Northern Panhandle
AK16 - Central Panhandle
AK17 - Southern Panhandle
AK18 - Kodiak


The front that moved through the state yesterday, sparking thunderstorms across much of the central and eastern Interior, is moving into Canada today, and will give rise to more wet thunderstorms in Fortymile Country along the ALCAN border this afternoon. Behind the front, clearing will gradually occur and conditions will begin to dry out again.
Ridging will build in from northwest Alaska southward, bringing sunshine which will significantly dry fuels in western and southern Alaska. Inland areas of Southwest, South Central, and Copper River Basin are likely to see the biggest effects, with humidities dipping into the upper teens in some areas. Southeast Alaska is also expecting a drying trend through the weekend.
Early next week, a long wave trough pattern over mainland AK brings cold air from the north into central Alaska, and has the potential to drop morning temperatures below freezing on Tuesday and Wednesday mornings north of the Alaska Range. This pattern will hold through mid-week, then a return to warmer weather is in store.

Fuels/Fire Potential

Warming and drying in southern AK is bringing FFMCs into the low 90s. With nice weekend weather in the forecast, expect human ignitions. Winds are generally light, but dry fine fuels are driving ISIs into double digits in parts of Copper River Basin and on the Kenai Peninsula, indicating rapid spread.

Despite some rainfall yesterday, much of the Interior remains dry and burnable, though full greenup is approaching.  

Duff Moisture Codes (DMCs) for many reporting locations in the east and central Interior are now over 80, suggesting more fuel is available and likelihood of higher intensity burning. While greenness maps show that much of the Interior is at least a little ahead of normal for greenup, hardwood leaf litter is holding fire under these conditions. This outlines the more complex situation for fuel availability at this time of year. Under warm, dry, and sunny conditions, fires will burn aggressively, especially in fire prone spruce and moss fuels.  Grasses and tundra may need more favorable wind conditions as they reach peak green. 


Alaska is at PL2. We have 10 Overhead from Northwest Compact (WA, OR, and ID)

2 Next Gen Tankers and 2 Booster loads of jumpers.

Forecasters: Strader 5/29/2015 1332 MDT