GACC Map

Legend

Fuel Dryness


Moist - Little or no risk for large fires.
Dry - Low risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Very dry - Low/Moderate risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Data Unavailable.

High Risk Events


Wind
Hot and Dry
Lightning

Missing Stations

  • None

California - North Area 7 Day
Significant Fire Potential

Issued: Saturday, Oct 25, 2014 Parameters:


Predictive Service Area Fri
Oct 24
Sat
Oct 25
Sun
Oct 26
Mon
Oct 27
Tue
Oct 28
Wed
Oct 29
Thu
Oct 30
Fri
Oct 31
NC01 - North Coast
NC02 - Mid Coast
NC03A - Bay Area-Marine
NC03B - Diablo/Santa Cruz Mtns
NC04 - Northwestern Mtns
NC05 - Sacramento Valley
NC06 - Northeast CA
NC07 - Northern Sierra
NC08 - East Side

Weather

*** Strong Gusty S-W Winds Throughout North Ops Region Today ***

 

The storm track will continue to bring rain and mountain snow to the North Ops area once or twice per week through early November.  Between storm systems conditions will be partly cloudy, mild, humid, and occasionally breezy.

 

The storm system currently moving through the North Ops area with light to moderate precipitation and strong gusty winds will exit the region early on Sunday.  S-SW winds are gusting to 40-50 mph in many locations, and locally higher, as the initial front and precipitation move through.  Snow levels at the front of the system are 7000 ft or more.  Areas behind the front will see SW-NW winds gusting to 25-35 mph, and locally higher, with snow levels falling to 5500-6500 ft.  Lingering showers will continue in the northern mountains early on Sunday as the system moves off to the east.

 

A brief period of warmer and drier weather is expected later on Sunday and Monday as high pressure passes overhead.  The next frontal system will reach far NW CA Tuesday and stall out there through Thursday while the remainder of the North Ops region remains partly cloudy, mild, humid, and breezy with a prevailing SW flow.  Current computer models show this frontal system moving through the region on Friday with gusty winds and moderate precipitation.

Fuels/Fire Potential

Significant Fire Potential will be minimal in all areas during the 7-Day period.

Most of North Ops remains in Extreme to Exceptional drought: http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?CA

Resources

North OPS:  Preparedness Level 2               

National:      Preparedness Level 1

MACS Mode 2

 

For more information about this product, please go to:  http://gacc.nifc.gov/oncc/predictive/weather/Fire%20Potential%20Documentation.htm

And for more information on the national product please go to:

http://gacc.nifc.gov/oncc/predictive/weather/explanation_of_Sig_7-Day_Fire_Pot_product.doc

 

Forecasters: Leach 10/25/2014 0857 MDT