Fuel Dryness

Moist - Little or no risk for large fires.
Dry - Low risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Very dry - Low/Moderate risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Data Unavailable.

High Risk Events

Wind - Sustained speeds of 20 mph or greater.
Hot and Dry - Temperatures above normal with humidity 20% or less.
Lightning - LALs of 3 or higher.

Missing Stations

  • Gates Park

Northern Rockies Area 7 Day
Significant Fire Potential

Issued: Tuesday, Sep 16, 2014 Parameters:

Predictive Service Area Mon
Sep 15
Sep 16
Sep 17
Sep 18
Sep 19
Sep 20
Sep 21
Sep 22
NR01 - North ID Panhandle
NR02 - Northwest Montana
NR03 - South ID Panhandle
NR04 - Western Montana
NR05 - Camas Prairie of Idaho
NR06 - North Central ID and Bitterroot/Sapphire Mountains
NR07 - Glacier NP and Wilderness Areas
NR08 - SW Montana W of Continental Divide
NR09 - Big Hole-SW Montana E of Continental Divide
NR10 - Northern Front Range
NR11 - West Central Montana
NR12 - South Central Montana & Yellowstone NP
NR13 - Northern Plains & Missouri Breaks
NR14 - Southern Montana (Big Horn / Powder River)
NR15 - NE Montana & NW N. Dakota
NR16 - SE Montana & SW N. Dakota
NR17 - Northeastern North Dakota
NR18 - Southeastern North Dakota


A weak disturbance is bringing isolated showers and wet thunderstorms over N ID and Western MT today in PSAs 3-6 and a few will develop later in PSAs 8-9. Otherwise warm dry conditions will continue today and tomorrow with above average temps. and low continue the fuels drying process. Only isolated convection is likely tomorrow over Central MT. On Thursday and Thursday night though a low pressure trough/surface cold front will move across the region. Scattered showers and isolated wet thunderstorms are expected wit the greatest coverage in central/eastern MT into ND. Along with some cooling and higher RHs...which will continue into Friday. 

Long-range models continue to show strong ridging re-building in from the west over the region this coming weekend...and through all next week. extended warm/dry period will resume over the region...with above average temps. and fairly low RHs. 

Fuels/Fire Potential

The potential for the development of large fires is low. However...all indices have showed drying across PSAs  3, 4, 5, and 6. Fuels in these areas are not quite expected to become critically dry this week..but there could be an increase in IA. 


Resources are adequate.

Forecasters: Richmond 9/16/2014 1118 MDT