Fuel Dryness

Moist - Little or no risk for large fires.
Dry - Low risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Very dry - Low/Moderate risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Data Unavailable.

High Risk Events

Wind - Sustained speeds of 20 mph or greater.
Hot and Dry - Temperatures above normal with humidity 20% or less.
Lightning - LALs of 3 or higher.

Missing Stations

  • Gates Park

Northern Rockies Area 7 Day
Significant Fire Potential

Issued: Friday, Aug 22, 2014 Parameters:

Predictive Service Area Thu
Aug 21
Aug 22
Aug 23
Aug 24
Aug 25
Aug 26
Aug 27
Aug 28
NR01 - North ID Panhandle
NR02 - Northwest Montana
NR03 - South ID Panhandle
NR04 - Western Montana
NR05 - Camas Prairie of Idaho
NR06 - North Central ID and Bitterroot/Sapphire Mountains
NR07 - Glacier NP and Wilderness Areas
NR08 - SW Montana W of Continental Divide
NR09 - Big Hole-SW Montana E of Continental Divide
NR10 - Northern Front Range
NR11 - West Central Montana
NR12 - South Central Montana & Yellowstone NP
NR13 - Northern Plains & Missouri Breaks
NR14 - Southern Montana (Big Horn / Powder River)
NR15 - NE Montana & NW N. Dakota
NR16 - SE Montana & SW N. Dakota
NR17 - Northeastern North Dakota
NR18 - Southeastern North Dakota


***Widespread wetting rainfall from two systems expected today-Monday. Some flooding possible.***

The odd weather this summer will continue as the region experiences an early taste of fall conditions today-Monday as a pair of wet systems move SE across the region bringing widespread precipitation and temperatures that are about 20 degrees cooler than normal. The impacts of both will allow for the fire danger indices to fall even further below normal by early next week. Montana PSAs and Yellowstone NP will be the most impacted by both systems...though ID and ND will receive some benefit. Some light snowfall is possible along some of the higher peaks along the Divide near Glacier NP tonight and Saturday. One area that could potentially be missed might be along the ID state line with WA and OR.

The first system is currently arriving and will impact the region through Sunday. NC and NE MT could receive several inches of precipitation. The second system will develop over WA and move into ID and eventually into SC MT Sunday night-Monday. After this second system passes...a ridge of high pressure will begin to move into the region Tuesday from the West bringing a return to warm and dry conditions. A wet cold front will move ESE across the region on Thursday bringing a chance for more wetting precipitation to the western half of the region. After that...confidence in the model data decreases again. One good model brings another wet closed low pressure into the region with more widespread precipitation. Another good model keeps us in a quieter westerly flow pattern that would promote near normal conditions.

Fuels/Fire Potential

The potential for the development and/or growth of large fires is Moderate and is decreasing due to the ongoing precipitation events.


Resources are adequate.

Forecasters: Henry 8/22/2014 0826 MDT