GACC Map

Legend

Fuel Dryness


Moist - Little or no risk for large fires.
Dry - Low risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Very dry - Low/Moderate risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Data Unavailable.

High Risk Events


Windy and Dry
Lightning

Missing Stations

  • Devore

California - South Area 7 Day
Significant Fire Potential

Issued: Saturday, Jul 12, 2014 Parameters:


Predictive Service Area Fri
Jul 11
Sat
Jul 12
Sun
Jul 13
Mon
Jul 14
Tue
Jul 15
Wed
Jul 16
Thu
Jul 17
Fri
Jul 18
SC01 - Eastern Sierra
SC02 - Central Sierra
SC03 - Southern Sierra
SC04 - Sierra Foothills
SC05 - Central Valley
SC06 - Central Coast Interior
SC07 - Central Coast
SC08 - South Coast
SC09 - Western Mountains
SC10 - Eastern Mountains
SC11 - Southern Mountains
SC12 - Lower Deserts
SC13 - Eastern Deserts
SC14 - Central Mojave
SC15 - Upper Deserts
SC16 - Northern Deserts

Weather

***Thunderstorms will return Sunday through the end of next week***

Strong high pressure will develop over the Great Basin today bringing a warming trend to the region through Sunday.  Maximum temperatures will be in the upper 70s and 80s across the mountains, with 90s in the valleys today.  Most valley locations will be near or exceed the 100 degree mark on Sunday.  Minimum humidity will be mainly in the teens away from the coast this weekend.  Moisture will start to increase in the mid levels of the atmosphere Sunday which will bring isolated afternoon thunderstorms to the mountains and deserts of Southern California east of the Cajon Pass.  Moisture will continue to increase early next week which will cause showers and thunderstorms to become more numerous over the mountains and deserts.  It is possible that an isolated shower or thunderstorm could move all the way to the coast across Southern California Monday and Central California Tuesday.  Moisture will decrease Wednesday through the end of next week causing thunderstorm activity to lessen and become confined to the mountains and deserts.  Temperatures will slowly cool Monday through the end of next week as the strong high over the Great Basin weakens and moves eastward.  Winds will be light across the region through the end of next week, except there will be strong and erratic winds in and near any thunderstorms.

Fuels/Fire Potential

The potential for large fire will continue to be at a lowered state today due to light winds and a lack of thunderstorm activity.  The large fire threat will increase next week as thunderstorm activity returns to the region.  No "High Risk" days are anticipated, since most thunderstorms are expected to be quite wet.  However, a few dry strikes may occur on the periphery of any thunderstorm complexes.  Downdraft winds from a thunderstorm may cause rapid rates of spread and long range spotting if an ignition occurs with little or no rainfall.  Expect light initial attack activity today and then moderate to heavy initial attack activity Sunday through the end of next week. 

Resources

CWCG Preparedness Level 2, MACS Mode 2

 

For more information about this product, please go to:

http://gacc.nifc.gov/oscc/predictive/outlooks/7-Day_Documentation.pdf

Forecasters: Shameson 7/12/2014 0848 MDT