GACC Map

Legend

Fuel Dryness


Moist - Little or no risk for large fires.
Dry - Low risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Very dry - Low/Moderate risk of large fires in the absence of a "High Risk" event.
Data Unavailable.

High Risk Events


Windy and Dry
Lightning

Missing Stations

  • Devore

California - South Area 7 Day
Significant Fire Potential

Issued: Wednesday, Jul 30, 2014 Parameters:


Predictive Service Area Tue
Jul 29
Wed
Jul 30
Thu
Jul 31
Fri
Aug 1
Sat
Aug 2
Sun
Aug 3
Mon
Aug 4
Tue
Aug 5
SC01 - Eastern Sierra
SC02 - Central Sierra
SC03 - Southern Sierra
SC04 - Sierra Foothills
SC05 - Central Valley
SC06 - Central Coast Interior
SC07 - Central Coast
SC08 - South Coast
SC09 - Western Mountains
SC10 - Eastern Mountains
SC11 - Southern Mountains
SC12 - Lower Deserts
SC13 - Eastern Deserts
SC14 - Central Mojave
SC15 - Upper Deserts
SC16 - Northern Deserts

Weather

***Scattered thunderstorms in the Sierras again today***

Some remnant moisture from former tropical storm Hernan has entered the central part of the state.  This has resulted in a few thunderstorms during the early morning hours around Fresno and the foothills south of the French Fire.  These storms will dissipate by 9 am, but further thunderstorm activity is expected in the Sierras once again this afternoon.  The storms should develop mainly along the Crest before moving slowly to the northeast this afternoon.  Other areas from Los Angeles County northward will see abundant high clouds which may hold temperatures down a couple of degrees from yesterday.  Overall, expect high temperatures to reach the 90s in the valleys and foothills to 110 in the low desert.  Winds will remain light.  Some mid slope areas from 1,500 to 5,000 feet may see RH drop into the teens for 4-6 hours during the middle to late afternoon.  Thursday and Friday, expect less high cloudiness, but overall the weather will change very little through the end of the work week.  This weekend, models suggest a plume of subtropical moisture may reach the southern part of the state.  This may result in scattered wet thunderstorms returning to the deserts and nearby areas of the San Bernardino, Cleveland and Angeles National Forest Saturday and Sunday.  Conversely, the Sierras should see an end to the afternoon thunderstorms by Friday.  Temperatures may trend a bit cooler over Central California this weekend with a return of the marine layer.  Next week looks cooler and drier at this point.

Fuels/Fire Potential

Scattered thunderstorms in the Sierras will likely generate gusty, erratic winds in the vicinity of the fires.  Downsloping, terrain-channeled winds may be possible at the French Fire due to convection in the area.  Although the threat of new starts will continue to be lower this week due to less lightning, any new start will have the potential for rapid growth through all fuel types due to the exceptional drought covering most of the area.  This weekend, the highest potential for new starts will shift southward into Southern California as another surge of monsoon moisture is expected to arrive.  Moderate IA and resource demand is expected in Central California through Friday, then moderate IA will develop over Southern California during the weekend.

Resources

CWCG Preparedness Level 2, MACS Mode 2

 

For more information about this product, please go to:

http://gacc.nifc.gov/oscc/predictive/outlooks/7-Day_Documentation.pdf

Forecasters: RK 7/30/2014 0802 MDT